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當前中藥材行情分析

陕西省快乐十分派彩电子走势图 www.gkvzj.com 2016-1-11 15:14| 發布者: 中藥材| 查看: 8172| 評論: 53

摘要: 從近期各大中藥材市場交易的情況來看,市場基本面偏弱,中藥材交投依舊平淡。價位偏高的品種價格開始出現滯漲回落,需求減弱人氣降低。價位偏低的品種有欲望回升,但受貨源供大于求的壓制,依舊在低價位徘徊,等待時 ...

從近期各大中藥材市場交易的情況來看,市場基本面偏弱,中藥材交投依舊平淡。價位偏高的品種價格開始出現滯漲回落,需求減弱人氣降低。價位偏低的品種有欲望回升,但受貨源供大于求的壓制,依舊在低價位徘徊,等待時機。目前已進入寒冬,正是藥市的銷售旺季,但是當前藥市行情沒有一點旺銷的跡象,整個市場行情一片低迷,大家只有在煎熬中等待。在目前這種市場行情下,市場短期很難恢復紅火的局面。

就甘肅大宗地產品種來說,黨參,當歸近期也恢復了漲價后的平靜。2015年黨參受干旱減產的利好消息,行情可以說死灰復燃,價格大跨一步,統裝貨由最低價17元漲到了30元左右,上漲幅度達80%左右,年末又再次登上了漲幅榜最前列,地產藥商為之傲嬌。我們言歸正傳,如果不是出現了減產的利好刺激,價格仍將在低價位徘徊,甚至再下一臺階。減產帶動的漲價也并非市場實際需求的表現,而是有更多的藥商看到利好消息,積極購貨拉升了價格。其實,黨參供應貨源充足,這也是漲價后不能繼續攀升的阻力所在。在利好刺激,以及眾人追捧的情況下,很多藥商恐怕只賺了行情,卻沒賺到錢,沒有及時出手,并且還在反彈高位繼續接盤。但是黨參利好已得到釋放,抓住這波反彈的藥商絕對是眉開眼笑,下一步就需要實際需求夯實行情。不管怎樣,2015年黨參名列漲價排行榜已無需爭議。

2015年上半年當歸行情還在低谷中獨自落淚,進入下半年生長期,在地植株出現抽薹現象,對于當歸來說,抽薹現象這是不可避免的,每年都有,不足以引起商家的關注,但是后來天氣干旱原因,造就了當歸利好出現,這時就有商家蠢蠢欲動,尤其產地商家紛紛囤積買貨,藥農開始惜售,要么有意抬高銷售價格。由此拉動了當歸行情的大幅上漲,從最低20元左右逐漸攀升至40元左右。上漲幅度達50%,無論當歸這輪漲價能走多遠,15年也算是揚眉吐氣了。甘肅這兩個大宗品種,告別低迷行情,一步登上了漲價排行榜。

時光流逝,轉眼2015年即將過去,回顧在這一年里藥市可謂在慘淡中度過。

主要有這幾方面原因:

1、國際、國內經濟大環境低迷。

2、國內受經濟下行影響,各行各業轉型升級需要時間。

3、藥廠GMP認證未結束,導致藥廠原料采購減少,藥市整體成交量萎縮。

4、藥材的上游生產仍處在中、高水平。

5、大多家種大家藥材庫存在不斷累積,嚴重供大于求。

6、國外購買力下降,許多代加工企業開工不足或倒閉,人們的收入減少,對中成藥的銷量也影響很大。

總結2015年藥市雖有上漲品種,雖熱度有限,但或多或少給低迷已久的藥市帶來一點溫暖,給人們帶來一絲希望。

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